Optimizing Partial Sales
How to think about sale valuations in the context of partial sales
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Last updated
How to think about sale valuations in the context of partial sales
Last updated
In the current market, we are increasingly seeing GPs explore partial sales of their active deals to realize DPI on their funds. This is especially true for deals where the deals have been held for a reasonable holding period, or where the company has had already had meaningful step-ups in valuation since the fund’s initial investment
However the next questions are usually:
What valuation should we sell at?
What % of the investment should we sell?
Today, we are releasing a new feature that helps answer both these questions.
While it might be tempting to assume we the fund should sell the position at the prevailing valuation, this approach might now always be adequate as this might end up diluting the fund's IRR.
By realizing liquidity today, the fund is giving up on a higher potential exit later on - and trading off future proceeds for cash today. This is a classic problem. The resulting liquidity from the partial could be put to work into new investments (especially if the fund is recycling exits) to realize even greater returns for the fund.
To ensure the partial sale is accretive, the resulting cash flows from a partial sale today should result in at least the same IRR as holding the entire investment.
This frequently means the sale valuation might need to be at a slight premium to the current valuation.
This requires a bit of math.
Let’s assume the currently projected IRR for a deal (without any partial sales) is 30% and it's currently forecasted cash flows are as follows:
Next, let’s assume we partially sell 25% of this deal today. Consequently, the resulting exit proceeds in the future will now be reduced by 25% as well. In fact, the new cash flows of the deal without taking into account the partial sale proceeds are as follows (assuming the cash flows for the first 3 periods were investments we have already done):
To compute the minimum partial sale needed to achieve the same 30% IRR, we calculate the NPV of the New Cash Flows at a discount rate of 30% (recall IRR is the rate at which NPV is 0).
This resulting NPV would represent the discounted value today of the proceeds from the partial sale.
Next, to solve for the company valuation, we first translate the NPV to FV (Future Value) today again at the 30% IRR rate to calculate the Implied Proceeds from Partial Sale.
And finally, we imply the Minimum Company Valuation from the Partial Sale Proceeds
A naive approach would be to compute the IRR at the deal level (after all we are doing all this in the context of a single deal). Interestingly we have found situations where a partial sale could be accretive at the deal-level, but still dilutive at the fund-level.
The reason is again time value of money. If the fund made an investment later in its investment horizon, there could be deviation between Deal IRR and Fund IRR as the fund-level cash flows would be significantly discounted relative to the deal-level cash flows.
By focusing this analysis on the Fund IRR, we can ensure that the partial sale would truly be accretive to both the Fund IRR and the Deal IRR.
Tactyc now automatically computes the Minimum Partial Sale Valuation for each active investment with the above logic. Under the Insights section of your fund's dashboard, Tactyc shows a table of Minimum Partial Sale Valuation i.e the lowest price the fund could sell a partial position in the deal for the resulting cash flows to still be accretive to the fund’s IRR.
Tactyc also adds a few more features to add additional details around this strategy.
GPs can also flex the % Sold variable to understand how much MOIC and Gain they are losing by executing a partial sale
Tactyc automatically show whether the Minimum Partial Sale Valuation is already at a discount to the latest valuation of the company
Finally, Tactyc computes the Minimum Partial Sale Valuation for each performance case (an upside scenario projected to return a 20x would have a higher Minimum Partial Sale Valuation than a downside scenario projected to return a 2x).
A key lesson we have learned from our more than 250 clients worldwide is that a data-driven manager doesn’t necessarily mean access to proprietary data, Monte Carlo simulations, or an AI algorithm (at-least not yet).
More often than not data-driven simply means doing the fundamental venture math (on concepts such as dilutions, sales, reserves, multiples etc.) - but all in a repeatable and disciplined workflow that can be applied across the entire portfolio.
We will continue to push forward features like these, to make these data-driven techniques a part of your fund’s workflow automatically.
At , we are fortunate to see up close and learn from the quantitative workflows of some of the best venture fund managers in the world. We prioritized this feature as we noticed some of our current clients were already executing the above workflow in a manual manner with the - and to make this process easier and simpler, we decided to automate this workflow for them.
